Saturday, October 3, 2009

Some companies are investing their way out of recession

Inquiring minds are reading the Economist's Thriving on adversity:
Bain & Company discovered that twice as many firms made the leap from “laggards” to “leaders” (ie, from the bottom quartile of companies in their industry to the top quartile) during the recession of 1991-92 than during non-recessionary times. McKinsey discovered that one-third of banks and two-fifths of big American industrial companies dropped out of the first quartile of their industries in the recession of 2001-02.

What about the current recession? The most obvious winners are established giants: market leaders that entered the recession with cash in their pockets and sound management systems under their belts. These companies are reaping rewards from investors who are skittish about shakier rivals. They are also using their corporate muscle to squeeze their costs (for example, by negotiating cheap rates for advertising) and so win market share from their competitors. BCG, another consultancy, notes that 58% of companies that were among the top three in their industry had rising profits in 2008 and only 30% saw their profits decline. In contrast, only 21% of companies outside the top three had rising profits, and 61% had falling profits.

McDonald’s is simultaneously sharpening its appeal to its core customers, even introducing computer systems that allow its outlets to adjust their prices to local economic circumstances, and moving upmarket with lattes and salads. Asda, a British supermarket chain, is building 14 new stores and hiring 7,000 new workers. PepsiCo has taken direct control of two of its biggest bottling companies, at a cost of $6 billion.

Despite seeing its revenues fall by 23% in the last quarter of 2008 compared with the last quarter of 2007, Intel is continuing to invest heavily in innovation. Craig Barrett, the company’s former boss, insists, “You can’t save your way out of a recession; you have to invest your way out.” P&G is launching its biggest expansion in its 170 years, opening 19 new factories around the world and investing heavily in new ideas, despite disappointing recent results. IBM is holding a series of “innovation jams” designed to squeeze ideas out of its employees.

Cisco is speeding up its transformation from a backroom network plumber into a much more versatile internet giant, using its cash reserves to snap up start-ups in new fields and expand its business portfolio. Repositioning is a strategy that has paid off dramatically in the past. When the Soviet Union collapsed, plunging Finland into economic turmoil, Nokia’s response was to abandon 90% of its businesses to concentrate on telecoms, particularly mobile phones.

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